Pricing decisions that hold over time


When a pricing decision feels too risky

Three different situations. The same underlying problem: the absence of a system that makes decisions feel too risky and uncertain.


We don’t know what to do

The next pricing decision is near. The stakes are high. The downside is unclear. The company wants confidence and doesn’t have it yet.


We think we broke something

Margins are trending the wrong way and pricing doesn’t seem to help. Time to put out the fire and reset pricing strategy and execution.


We don’t know what’s happening

A recent price increase didn’t work as planned. The outcome is not fully understood, and the next decision is already arriving.


Bad pricing decisions don’t fail immediately. They accumulate.

The cost of pricing indiscipline isn’t a single bad call. It’s the slow loss of control over your own pricing logic, leading to millions of dollars of revenue and profit erosion.

Discount becomes the default. The everyday price loses its ability to anchor.

Customers value the discount, not the product. Retracting it costs more than running it ever did.

Behavior gets baked in. The brand’s commercial logic moves out of your hands.


Decisions that hold come from structure, not instinct.

Three pillars. Three phases. The asymmetry is intentional: the best pricing decisions are the ones that are well-prepared. Most of the work happens before and during the decision, not after. Most companies have fragments, very few have a system.

Discipline over multiple cycles = compounding pricing decisions.


Pricing decisions are classification problems under uncertainty.

Our proprietary Pricing Decision Science system blends advanced analytics and qualified judgement to give the right decision. Consistently.

We start with your business context, strategy and constraints, then design your pricing decision system accordingly.

Predictive price elasticity. Segmentation models. Optimization algorithms. All running in the background…and always constrained by your business rules.

The system gives you actual pricing decisions and actions you can implement immediately.


From reactive decisions
to disciplined systems.

Three ways to engage. The first answers a question. The second builds the structure. The third makes it durable.


Independent Pricing Review

Get an impartial and objective measurement of your pricing effectiveness. Improve your next pricing decision.


  • A report card, based on your data
  • A clear outcome on your decision
  • A recommendation for your next move

Pricing Decision Science

Two workstreams. Short term, we design your next pricing decision, based on advanced analytics. Long term, we build the system that will make it all compound.


  • A fully-designed pricing decision, ready for implementation
  • The Pricing Decision Science system, adapted to your business and operational
  • Improved internal pricing capabilities

Pricing Decision Partner

We support your team throughout the pricing cycle, from target-setting to final read. Until you’re ready to do it on your own.


  • Live and ongoing pricing decision support, on demand
  • Post-decision pricing effectiveness measurement
  • Knowledge transfer to build in-house pricing capabilities

Pricing Decision Science in action. And it works.

Across industries and engagements, the same process, the same results: clear, confident and impactful pricing decisions, made systematically and deliberately.


How Decision Science Turned a Coffee Chain From Follower to Leader

From losing 12% in traffic after a bad pricing decision to consistently leading its category and pleasing its shareholders. Achieved over 36 months by combining advanced analytics with structured decision-making.


The Price Increase Worked. The Problem Was Everything Around It.

Volume was down 15% after a price increase. Everyone was ready for deep markdowns. But pricing had nothing to do with it and volume eventually recovered. A good example of why you should track your pricing decisions over time.


The Growth Was Already There. Pricing and Promotions Were Hiding It.

Across-the-board price increases on one hand. Overly aggressive promotions on the other. A poorly designed loyalty program in the middle, and shipping fees waived half of the time. The business was growing despite itself. We changed that.

Fred’s work was instrumental in guiding two company wide price increases. Both times, profits grew as expected without negative impact to customer traffic. The benefit flowed directly to the bottom line.” (VP Strategy, Fast Casual)


Built by Fred Puech

PhD economist. Pricing decision scientist. Advisor to executive teams across consumer brands, B2B manufacturing and distribution, and private equity.

Over the past two decades, Fred has helped dozens of leadership teams navigate price increases, promotional complexity, and high-stakes monetization decisions, turning pricing from a reactive function into an operating discipline.

What clients hire him for:

  • When a price increase backfired
  • When promotions start eroding margin
  • When leadership wants confidence before making the call
  • When a strategic change in direction is needed
Fred Puech headshot

If pricing decisions matter, they need to hold. Most don’t.

Bring one decision you’re sitting on. We’ll run it through the Pricing Decision Science framework together. No decks. No pitch. A working session that ends with a sharper call than the one you walked in with.


60-minute working session, online, free.


Bring one decision (pricing or promo) and the data you have on it. Even if you’re just getting started.


You will walk out of the call with more clarity about your decision and a plan to make it happen.